Market outlook
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Under pressure: Three-minute macro
This month, we note that the equity risk premium isn’t indicating a growth slowdown in the near future (despite our views to the contrary), while also cautioning that fewer people may be heading back to the office than we suspect many are hoping for. Finally, we look at how the Federal Reserve's aggressive policy trajectory might affect Asia.
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Market outlook—changing expectations
Growing uncertainty as a result of rising interest rates, inflation, and ongoing supply chain disruptions has hurt market sentiment. How might recent development affect expected returns for risk assets?
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Three strategies to prepare portfolios for a late-cycle economy
With rising rates, high inflation, and slowing growth, this is shaping up to potentially be one of the shortest economic cycles in history. We take a closer look at three strategies that savvy investors can use to prepare their portfolios for a late-cycle environment.
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Will the Fed's approach to interest-rate hikes trigger a recession?
Concerns about recession risks are rising amid seemingly persistent inflation and rising interest rates. Find out to what extent these fears are warranted.
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Slowing growth and souring sentiment—how to survive a bear market
Major stock indexes flirt with bear market territory as concerns about U.S. growth mount. How should investors act in the face of uncertainty?
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Rising rates and real estate: Three-minute macro
A hawkish BoC should have Canadian homeowners on watch as interest-rate rises will likely eat into their purchasing power. We also break down why green energy stocks are underperforming this year and why stagflation is such a scary word.
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Show them the money: Three-minute macro
Corporate profits are surging, but workers aren’t really sharing in this profit boom—and that’s made even worse by rising prices. Our eyes are also on inventory levels that are building, and which could be a danger in the wake of rising interest rates.
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Patience is a virtue for today’s fixed-income investors
Now that the Fed has begun to lift interest rates, we see two distinct phases ahead for fixed-income investors: before and after a potential yield curve inversion. Navigating this tightening cycle will require a thoughtful approach.
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No shortage of risks: Three-minute macro
The Russian-Ukraine conflict, persistently high inflation, and the Fed’s long-awaited rate hike have investors scared, while food prices are increasing at the fastest rate in four decades.
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Five reasons why U.S. inflation could get worse
We had expected prices pressure to begin to ease after hitting a peak in February or March; however, the spike in food and energy prices as a result of the conflict in Ukraine means that prices could remain elevated for longer.
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