Market outlook
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Goodbye, negative-yielding debt: Three-minute macro
The era of negative-yielding debt is over, but we’re more focused on how debt issuance and rising rates will increase government debt burdens (and what that means for investors). Our eyes are also on Europe, where we’re cautiously optimistic in the short term. Finally, we’ve got some good news for bond investors.
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Global economic outlook 2023: navigating uncertainty
2023 is likely to be a year of two halves: H1 could be defined by a material slowdown in growth as the effects of aggressive monetary tightening kick in while H2 could see an easing in macroeconomic conditions. Read more.
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The tailwinds of change: Three-minute macro
Inflation is showing signs of moderating, and if history is any indication, that could be a tailwind for equities. We’ve also got eyes on the timeline for a reopening in China, and on Americans’ excess savings, which aren’t excess for everyone.
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The U.S. Federal Reserve reiterates its hawkish bias
Hopes that the U.S. central bank will make a dovish policy pivot soon were more or less dashed at the final FOMC meeting of 2022; however, there's still reason to think that monetary easing may still occur in 2023.
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Outlook 2023: finding value in a challenging economy
The headwinds investors faced in 2022 are unlikely to abate over the near term—but those challenges may offer opportunities. We take a closer look at where we're seeing value in this uncertain market environment.
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Asset allocation view—navigating uncertainty
How should investors approach asset allocation decisions amid rising uncertainty? Manulife Investment Management's multi-asset solution team shares their latest views.
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Don't be so negative: Three-minute macro
Earnings estimates have started to decline, but some sectors are doing far better than others. We also take a look at European trade dependence and how different commodities might perform in a slowing economy.
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What does a strong dollar mean for global growth?
As the world's dominant reserve currency, movements in the dollar can have important implications for the global economy. Learn about the three channels through which dollar strength can shape growth.
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Food price inflation: 10 implications
Food price inflation and the issue of food security have become increasingly important to policymakers and financial markets. We examine how recent developments could shape global growth.
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Service, please! Three-minute macro
Inflation continues to be stubborn, but now we’re focused more on the services component, which is causing the bulk of the pain. Meanwhile, with volatility pretty much everywhere, investors find themselves without many assets to turn to because of rising asset class correlations. Finally, we take a look at the potential of the Brazilian equity market, which looks cheap.
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