Market outlook
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Three questions for the Fed in the lead-up to its March meeting
Fears that financial stress in the system could morph into a banking crisis have sparked speculation that the Fed might make a dovish pivot at its March meeting. We take a closer look.
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A framework for navigating a massive uncertainty shock
The closure of tech-focused lenders in the United States has left investors on tenterhooks even as policymakers work hard to contain potential spillover effects. Find out how recent events could affect the U.S. economy.
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Duration calculation: Three-minute macro
Managing duration risk is important for all portfolios, so we modeled duration risk in equities. We also shed some light on what tech layoffs mean (or don’t mean) for the wider economy. Finally, we explain why the Bank of Canada’s aggressive monetary tightening relative to its peers may not be enough to prevent a recession.
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Goodbye, negative-yielding debt: Three-minute macro
The era of negative-yielding debt is over, but we’re more focused on how debt issuance and rising rates will increase government debt burdens (and what that means for investors). Our eyes are also on Europe, where we’re cautiously optimistic in the short term. Finally, we’ve got some good news for bond investors.
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Global economic outlook 2023: navigating uncertainty
2023 is likely to be a year of two halves: H1 could be defined by a material slowdown in growth as the effects of aggressive monetary tightening kick in while H2 could see an easing in macroeconomic conditions. Read more.
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The tailwinds of change: Three-minute macro
Inflation is showing signs of moderating, and if history is any indication, that could be a tailwind for equities. We’ve also got eyes on the timeline for a reopening in China, and on Americans’ excess savings, which aren’t excess for everyone.
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The U.S. Federal Reserve reiterates its hawkish bias
Hopes that the U.S. central bank will make a dovish policy pivot soon were more or less dashed at the final FOMC meeting of 2022; however, there's still reason to think that monetary easing may still occur in 2023.
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Outlook 2023: finding value in a challenging economy
The headwinds investors faced in 2022 are unlikely to abate over the near term—but those challenges may offer opportunities. We take a closer look at where we're seeing value in this uncertain market environment.
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Asset allocation view—navigating uncertainty
How should investors approach asset allocation decisions amid rising uncertainty? Manulife Investment Management's multi-asset solution team shares their latest views.
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Don't be so negative: Three-minute macro
Earnings estimates have started to decline, but some sectors are doing far better than others. We also take a look at European trade dependence and how different commodities might perform in a slowing economy.
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